NATIONAL: All of Queensland’s federal Labor MPs, including Kevin Rudd and Treasurer Wayne Swan, would be tossed out if an election were held now, according to the latest Newspoll state-by-state analysis.
The Australian said that if Labor was hoping the defeat of Anna Bligh’s Queensland government in March would quell some of the anger against Julia Gillard’s federal government then they had better think again.
The paper said that in the three months since Ms Bligh was voted out, support for federal Labor had plunged to a record low and coalition support jumped to 54 per cent of the primary vote.
According to the new analysis, Labor’s primary vote in Queensland is down to just 22 per cent.
Based on preference flows at the 2010 election, the coalition heads Labor in Queensland by a staggering 65 per cent to 35 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.
At the 2010 election, federal Labor won 44.9 percent of the vote in Queensland on second preferences.
The paper says the results mean federal Labor MPs in Queensland are facing a swing against them of 10 per cent, which would unseat every Labor MP in the state, including Mr Swan, Mr Rudd and Trade Minister Craig Emerson.
This would hand the coalition an election win by itself even if Labor managed to hang on to every other seat it has in Australia.
But the paper said the swing against Labor in NSW revealed there would also be a bloodbath, with 14 Labor MPs, including three ministers, in danger of being swept out of office.
The Newspoll statistics show that Labor’s primary result in NSW has dropped from 31 percent to 29 percent with the coalition’s rising from 45 percent to 47 percent, for a two-party preferred lead of 56 percent to 44 percent.